Data Analytics report

Scarlet Moon DAU Event Difficulty Review

A complete activity-by-activity difficulty review for the ID region, benchmarked against August 2025 activeness.

Executive Summary

  • Three of the four fully reviewable activities need tuning. Granat Scarlet and Jeep Scarlet set their core rewards too high. Toko Scarlet has an uneven ladder: the first grand prize is too easy, while collecting both equal-cost grand prizes is too difficult.
  • Login Weekend is appropriately tuned. Median50 players receive the first reward at their expected weekend activity level and unlock the second reward by adding one active day.
  • Three activities still lack enough detail for final approval. Purple Diamond has no setting; Special Interface has no stage thresholds or progress source; Local Campaign only describes a discount concept without a confirmed duration, reward list or price mapping.
  • Recommended priority: Granat → Jeep → Toko. Lower Granat's first playtime milestone to 15Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline–18 minutes and fix the voucher inversion; make Jeep's GP reachable for the intended segment; align Toko so Median50 +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline can cover both equal-tier GPs.
Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Activities listed

7Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Named activities or defined concepts listed in the planning tab.

Named activities or defined concepts listed in the planning tab.Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Fully reviewable

4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Activities with enough mission, reward and threshold detail for a quantitative review.

Activities with enough mission, reward and threshold detail for a quantitative review.Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Tuning recommended

3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Fully reviewable activities that need a difficulty or reward-ladder adjustment.

Fully reviewable activities that need a difficulty or reward-ladder adjustment.Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Settings incomplete

3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Activities that still lack missions, thresholds, rewards or a confirmed duration.

Activities that still lack missions, thresholds, rewards or a confirmed duration.Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Portfolio view: the main issues are milestone gaps and uneven reward ladders

The chart answers one question only: after the intended incremental effort, how close is Median50 to the next meaningful milestone? Because the underlying units differ, use the chart to read the size of the gap and the event tables below as the approval authority.

Median50 attainment of the next key milestone after incremental effort
Median50 attainment of the next key milestone after incremental effort data
ActivityAttainmentIncremental effortNext key milestoneExpected result
Toko83.3%+1 match per active dayBoth co-GPs, 24 token total20 token
Granat62%+1 match per active dayFirst playtime reward, 30 minutes18.6 minutes
Jeep40%+1 match per active dayJeep GP, 15 token6 token
Login Weekend100%+1 active daySecond login reward, 2 daysAbout 2.1 days; reached

Activity review overview

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Activity review overview
#ActivityOpen windowMission / mechanicReview conclusionKey judgment
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelinePurple DiamondJul 20–26 (calendar only)Not providedInsufficient informationNo missions, rewards or thresholds; not reviewable
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineSpecial InterfaceAug 21–Sep 7Five reward stagesInsufficient informationStage thresholds, progress source and token conversion are missing
3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineToko ScarletAug 24–Sep 7 (14 days)Daily token / new gameplay + normal matchesUneven reward ladderMedian50 baseline gets 1 GP; +1 remains 4 token short of the second equal-tier GP
4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineGranat ScarletAug 28–31 (3-day weekend)Cumulative playtimeClearly too hardMedian50 +1 reaches 18.6 minutes, below the first 30-minute playtime reward
5Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineJeep ScarletAug 31–Sep 7 (7 days)Daily token / normal matchesGP too hardTop30 baseline and +1 both earn 12 token, below the 15-token GP
6Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineLogin WeekendSep 4–7 (3-day weekend)Cumulative loginReasonableMedian50 gets milestone 1 at baseline and milestone 2 with +1 active day
7Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineLocal Campaign / DAUxRevSep 7–13 (calendar inference)+2% discount per match, cap 90%Early risk / setting incompleteProvisional Median50 +1 reaches 11.1%; 90% requires 45 matches

1Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51. Purple Diamond — Not reviewable yet

Conclusion: the setting is missing. The tab only shows a July 20–26Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51 calendar slot. It does not provide missions, rewards, token rules, thresholds or formal start/end timestamps.

Required information: activity type, mission list, daily versus cumulative reset rules, reward costs and exchange limits. Difficulty should not be approved before those fields are complete.

Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51

Materializes the Special Interface stage rows read from Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51.

2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Special Interface — Rewards are listed, but unlock logic is missing

Conclusion: the reward structure can be read, but difficulty cannot be quantified. The interface runs from August 21 to September 7 and lists five reward stages. It does not state the point/token requirement for each stage, the progress source, or how Event Tab currencies contribute to interface progress.

By final-stage position, the Purple Female Bundle is the headline reward. The other items cannot be reliably labeled GP or sub-GP without their actual costs.

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Special Interface reward stages

Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51

Materializes the Special Interface stage rows read from Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51.

Special Interface reward stages
StageRewardProvisional role
1Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51Photo Template (30D) + 3× In-Game BonusFiller
2Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51Photo Frame (30D) + Photo Sticker (30D)Filler
3Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51Purple Gloo WallPending cost
4Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG512× Voice Pack (30D)Pending cost
5Source: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU PlanTable: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51Purple Female BundleFinal reward by position

Information needed for review

Add each stage threshold, the source and daily cap of progress currency, and whether Toko, Jeep or other Event Tab activities jointly contribute to interface progress.

3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Toko Scarlet — The first GP is too easy, while collecting both GPs is too hard

Mission type: a 14Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline-day daily-token activity. Login and Play 1/3 are normal activeness missions. Entering Scarlet Moon Realm and killing a Lead Wolf are new-gameplay participation missions, so they are assumed completable by any active player.

Reward identification: the two 12Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline-token rewards have exactly the same highest cost and must both be treated as co-grand-prizes. The two 5Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline-token voice packs are co-sub-grand-prizes. Median50 earns 16 token at baseline and can already redeem one GP without +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. With +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline, Median50 earns 20 token but remains 4 token short of the second GP.

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Toko Scarlet — player activity reference

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Toko Scarlet — player activity reference
#Player segmentReference monthScaling basisExpected active daysMatches / active dayBaseline total matchesTotal matches after +1/dayAverage match minutes
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30August 202514 days / monthly activity7.77Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2.89Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline22.48Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline30.26Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline7.04Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50August 202514 days / monthly activity4.36Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1.56Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline6.79Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline11.15Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline6.59Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Toko Scarlet — token and redemption outcome

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Toko Scarlet — token and redemption outcome
#Player scenarioExpected active daysToken / active dayTotal tokenGP-first redemption
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 baseline8Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline5Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline40Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2 GPs + 2 sub-GPs + 6 fillers
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 +1 match/day8Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline5Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline40Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineSame as baseline; no incremental reward
3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 baseline4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline16Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1 GP + 4 fillers
4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 +1 match/day4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline5Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline20Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1 GP + 1 sub-GP + 3 fillers; second GP short by 4 token

Recommendation

Reduce both co-GPs from 12 to 10 token, or add 4 reliably obtainable token across the 14-day event. This lets Median50 baseline redeem one GP and Median50 +1 redeem both, creating a cleaner incentive ladder.

4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Granat Scarlet — Clearly too hard; +1 match creates no incremental reward

Mission type: a three-day weekend cumulative-playtime activity using the August 2025 weekend active-day rate.

Top30 reaches about 37.8 minutes at baseline and 50.9 minutes after +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Median50 reaches about 11.3 minutes at baseline and 18.6 minutes after +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Neither segment crosses another reward milestone after the incremental effort. Median50 needs about 4.12 matches per active day to reach 30 minutes, roughly +2.57 matches above baseline.

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Granat Scarlet — player activity reference

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Granat Scarlet — player activity reference
#Player segmentReference monthScaling basisExpected active daysMatches / active dayBaseline total matchesTotal matches after +1/dayAverage match minutes
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30August 20253 days / weekend activity1.86Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2.89Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline5.37Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline7.23Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline7.04Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50August 20253 days / weekend activity1.1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1.56Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1.72Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2.82Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline6.59Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Granat Scarlet — cumulative playtime

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Granat Scarlet — cumulative playtime
#Player scenarioExpected weekend active daysMinutes / active dayTotal minutesReward obtained
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 baseline1.86Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline20.4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline37.8Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2 login vouchers + 1 playtime voucher; 3 total
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 +1 match/day1.86Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline27.4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline50.9Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineStill 3 vouchers; no incremental reward
3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 baseline1.1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline10.3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline11.3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2 login vouchers only
4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 +1 match/day1.1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline16.8Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline18.6Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineStill 2 login vouchers; no incremental reward

Recommendation

  1. Lower the first playtime milestone from 30 minutes to 15–18 minutes so Median50 +1 can reach it.
  2. Swap the first two voucher quantities: 1 voucher for login and 2 vouchers for the playtime milestone.
  3. Keep 75/120 minutes as stretch milestones, but do not treat them as the primary reachable reward for the Event Tab target.

5Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Jeep Scarlet — The sub-GP step works, but the GP is unreachable even for average Top30

Mission type: a seven-day daily-token activity made entirely of normal login and match-count missions. Play 5 must use the actual five-match threshold.

Top30 earns 12 token both at baseline and after +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline, still 3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline short of the 15Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline-token GP. Median50 moves from 4 token at baseline to 6Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline after +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline, which upgrades the outcome from fillers only to one 5Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline-token sub-GP plus one filler.

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Jeep Scarlet — player activity reference

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Jeep Scarlet — player activity reference
#Player segmentReference monthScaling basisExpected active daysMatches / active dayBaseline total matchesTotal matches after +1/dayAverage match minutes
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30August 20257 days / monthly activity3.89Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2.89Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline11.24Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline15.13Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline7.04Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50August 20257 days / monthly activity2.18Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1.56Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline3.39Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline5.57Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline6.59Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Jeep Scarlet — token and redemption outcome

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Jeep Scarlet — token and redemption outcome
#Player scenarioExpected active daysToken / active dayTotal tokenEnd-of-event redemption
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 baseline4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline12Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineGP unreachable; 2 sub-GPs + 2 fillers at event end
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 +1 match/day4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline12Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineSame as baseline; GP still short by 3 token
3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 baseline2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline4 fillers
4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 +1 match/day2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline6Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1 sub-GP + 1 filler

Recommendation

If the GP is intended to be reachable for average Top30, reduce its cost from 15 to 12 token or add at least 3 achievable token. The current 5-token sub-GP step works for Median50 +1 and can remain. If the GP is intended for Median50 +1, the current 6-versus-15 gap requires a much larger redesign.

6Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Login Weekend — Appropriately tuned

Mission type: a three-day cumulative-login activity. It is evaluated on active days, not +1 match. Top30 is expected to be active for about 1.86Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline days and Median50 for about 1.10Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline days.

Median50 receives the first two vouchers at baseline and gains another two vouchers by adding one active day. Top30 receives four vouchers at baseline, while the 7Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline-day trial gun skin requires full-weekend attendance. The ladder encourages one additional active day and preserves a full-attendance stretch reward.

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Login Weekend — player activity reference

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Login Weekend — player activity reference
#Player segmentReference monthScaling basisExpected active daysMatches / active dayBaseline total matchesTotal matches after +1/dayAverage match minutes
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30August 20253 days / weekend activity1.86Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2.89Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline5.37Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline7.23Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline7.04Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50August 20253 days / weekend activity1.1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1.56Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1.72Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2.82Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline6.59Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Login Weekend — active days and rewards

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Login Weekend — active days and rewards
#Player scenarioExpected active daysWhole-day proxyReward obtained
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 weekend baseline1.86Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline4 Gold Vault Vouchers
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 +1 active day2.86Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline4 vouchers + 7D trial gun skin
3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 weekend baseline1.1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2 Gold Vault Vouchers
4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 +1 active day2.1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline4 Gold Vault Vouchers

Recommendation

Keep the current setting. If rewards change later, preserve the requirement that Median50 needs roughly one additional active day for the second milestone.

7Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Local Campaign / DAUxRev web event relaunch — Early indication that discount growth is too slow

Current information: discount starts at 0%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline, increases by 2%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline per match, caps at 90%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline, and does not reset daily. The calendar appears to cover September 7–13Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline, but the formal duration, free-item thresholds, price mapping and target audience are missing.

Under a provisional seven-day assumption, Median50 reaches only about 6.8%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline at baseline and 11.1%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline after +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. Top30 reaches about 30.3%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline after +1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline. The 90%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline cap requires 45 matches, far above both benchmark segments.

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Local Campaign — estimated discount progress

Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Local Campaign — estimated discount progress
#Player scenarioExpected active daysExpected matchesExpected discount
1Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 baseline3.89Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline11.24Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline22.5%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline
2Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineTop30 +1 match/day3.89Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline15.13Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline30.3%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline
3Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 baseline2.18Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline3.39Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline6.8%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline
4Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation GuidelineMedian50 +1 match/day2.18Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline5.57Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline11.1%Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Recommendation

Only a preliminary risk flag is possible. Add the formal duration, eligible modes, free-item thresholds, original prices and the value of each discount tier before confirming whether 2% per match is reasonable.

Recommended priority

  1. Granat Scarlet: lower the 30-minute milestone and fix the voucher inversion.
  2. Jeep Scarlet: define the intended GP audience; use 12 token or add 3 token if Top30 is the target.
  3. Toko Scarlet: align the two equal-tier GPs, preferably 10 token each or +4 event token.
  4. Complete missing settings: add thresholds and rewards for Purple Diamond, Special Interface and Local Campaign before final approval.
  5. Login Weekend: no change required.

Questions to resolve

  • Should Median50 +1 obtain one Toko GP or both equal-tier GPs?
  • What are the Special Interface thresholds and progress sources for each stage?
  • What are the formal Local Campaign dates, products, free-item thresholds and discount values?
  • Will Purple Diamond receive a complete Event Info setting, or has it moved out of this review?

Method and assumptions

  • Scarlet Moon is concentrated in August, so all campaign reviews use ID August 2025 activeness.
  • The Calculator monthly denominator remains fixed at 33Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline; only the event-open-day input changes.
  • Discrete daily-token calculations round expected active days to whole days; cumulative playtime keeps fractional active days.
  • Friday–Sunday events use avg_active_days_weekend; August 2025 contains 10Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline Saturday/Sunday days.
  • New-gameplay participation missions are assumed completable by all active players. Normal match/playtime missions use their actual numeric thresholds.
  • Results use segment averages. Distribution affects borderline players, but the Granat and Jeep gaps are large enough that the directional conclusions are robust.
Source: Scarlet Moon review calculation notesTables: Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Plan, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / Monthly Raw Data, DAU Plan Review 2026-05 / Calculator, [C3][FF] User Ops Guideline v 1.0 / User Operation Guideline

Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

Sources

  1. Scarlet Moon review calculation notesoutputs/scarlet_moon_dau_review_calculations.md · duckdb · 2026-07-21T15:30:00+08:00

    Materializes the reviewed spreadsheet calculations used by the report. The underlying Google Sheets values and formulas are documented in the linked calculation notes.

    SQL query
    SELECT * FROM (VALUES
      ('portfolio_metrics', 1, 'All activities', 'Named activities', 7.0, NULL, '7 named activities'),
      ('portfolio_metrics', 2, 'All activities', 'Fully reviewable', 4.0, NULL, '4 fully reviewable'),
      ('next_milestone_attainment', 1, 'Toko', 'Median50 +1 match/day', 0.8333, 20.0, '20 of 24 token'),
      ('next_milestone_attainment', 2, 'Granat', 'Median50 +1 match/day', 0.6203, 18.6, '18.6 of 30 minutes'),
      ('next_milestone_attainment', 3, 'Jeep', 'Median50 +1 match/day', 0.4000, 6.0, '6 of 15 token'),
      ('next_milestone_attainment', 4, 'Login Weekend', 'Median50 +1 active day', 1.0000, 2.1, '2.1 of 2 active days'),
      ('toko_results', 1, 'Toko', 'Top30 baseline', 40.0, 5.0, '2 GP + 2 sub-GP + 6 fillers'),
      ('toko_results', 2, 'Toko', 'Median50 baseline', 16.0, 4.0, '1 GP + 4 fillers'),
      ('toko_results', 3, 'Toko', 'Median50 +1 match/day', 20.0, 5.0, '1 GP + 1 sub-GP + 3 fillers'),
      ('granat_results', 1, 'Granat', 'Top30 baseline', 37.8, 1.86, '3 vouchers'),
      ('granat_results', 2, 'Granat', 'Top30 +1 match/day', 50.9, 1.86, '3 vouchers'),
      ('granat_results', 3, 'Granat', 'Median50 baseline', 11.3, 1.10, '2 vouchers'),
      ('granat_results', 4, 'Granat', 'Median50 +1 match/day', 18.6, 1.10, '2 vouchers'),
      ('jeep_results', 1, 'Jeep', 'Top30 baseline', 12.0, 3.0, '2 sub-GP + 2 fillers'),
      ('jeep_results', 2, 'Jeep', 'Median50 baseline', 4.0, 2.0, '4 fillers'),
      ('jeep_results', 3, 'Jeep', 'Median50 +1 match/day', 6.0, 3.0, '1 sub-GP + 1 filler'),
      ('login_results', 1, 'Login Weekend', 'Top30 baseline', 1.86, 2.0, '4 vouchers'),
      ('login_results', 2, 'Login Weekend', 'Median50 baseline', 1.10, 1.0, '2 vouchers'),
      ('local_campaign_results', 1, 'Local Campaign', 'Top30 baseline', 11.24, 22.5, '22.5% discount'),
      ('local_campaign_results', 2, 'Local Campaign', 'Median50 +1 match/day', 5.57, 11.1, '11.1% discount')
    ) AS review_snapshot(dataset, row_order, activity, scenario, metric_value, comparison_value, result)
  2. Monthly Plan Check - ID / Scarlet Moon DAU Planduckdb · 2026-07-21T15:30:00+08:00

    Materializes the Special Interface stage rows read from Scarlet Moon DAU Plan!A1:AG51.

    SQL query
    SELECT * FROM (VALUES
      (1, 'Photo Template (30D) + 3x In-Game Bonus', 'Filler'),
      (2, 'Photo Frame (30D) + Photo Sticker (30D)', 'Filler'),
      (3, 'Purple Gloo Wall', 'Pending cost'),
      (4, '2x Voice Pack (30D)', 'Pending cost'),
      (5, 'Purple Female Bundle', 'Final reward by position')
    ) AS special_interface(stage, reward, role)
  3. User Ops Guideline / Monthly Raw Data
  4. User Operation Guideline
  5. DAU Plan Review / Calculator